Shouting 'Cross the Potomac
but never a Monday morning quarterback
adrag1 at msn.com [until the QP server gets fixed]
willv at comcast.net
Virginia Pundit Watch Will Vehrs' Weekly Column at Bacon's Rebellion
DC Metro Blog Map
UVA Center for Politics and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball Predictions 2002
Spinsanity - Countering rhetoric with reason
On the Third Hand
A blog by a proud member of the Bellicose Women's Brigade
Mark A. Kilmer's Political Annotation
A Nickles Worth of Free Advice
Where HipHop and Libertarianism meet
Note To Self
"Crash"'s way kewl blog
The Rallying Point
Mind Over What Matters
Off the Kuff
What She Really Thinks
Talking Points Memo
the talking dog
The Rittenhouse Review
The Lefty Directory
Common Sense and Wonder
Jim Miller on Politics
Croooow Blog: Rantings and ravings on the news of the day.
The Road to Surfdom
The Volokh Conspiracy
perfunctory links(We think it's "the Mother of links pages for news and pundit junkies" - eds)
Independent Gay Forum
Town Hall: Conservative News and Information - The Conservative Movement Starts Here
Wednesday, October 08, 2003
It's Pronounced Caleeforneea!
Tony AdragnaWhat's amazing is how far off the mark lots of predictions were. Yourself, Will, twice wrote that Cruz would win by a slight margin. Whoda thunk it that AS would pull out a 16 point win.
And it coulda been worse — McClintock's 13 points woulda given AS a 29 point victory, making it 64 to 32!
Hell, even the recall itself won by a 10 point margin.
What now? Well, let's see how AS does.
What does the California governorship being in GOP hands augur for the '04 presidential election? Pundits, Pols and Analysts are making too much of this question. Bush pere lost the state to Clinton even after having elected Wilson...
p.s. Sorry for being away so long, but I've got something a bit more important going on right now — looking for a new job.
"What Do We Do Now?"--Arnold
Will VehrsA few weeks ago I predicted to a QP reader that I thought Davis would be recalled but that Bustamante would edge Schwarzenegger. I failed to update that prognostication as it became increasingly obvious that nothing--not groping allegations, not Nazi allegations, not vague generalities posing as a platform--could stop the Terminator tide.
I'm not crazy about "Arnold" as an actor, a human being, or a thinker. He has charisma, though, and he's definitely an outsider. He could conceiveably use those traits to good effect. I wish him and California well.
The allegations of groping were somewhat troubling, but I had to discount them for their timing and for the environment where they occurred. Hollywood, where sex sells, is hardly the place I would expect to find scrupulous attention to the evils of sexual hijinks morphing into sexual harassment.
We've always been disappointed by high-profile "outsiders" that entered the political arena, the most notable being Ross Perot and Jesse Ventura. Maybe Arnold can break the mold. One grope and he's gone.